AI Strategy

The Future of Build vs. Buy: Throwaway Software, Dark Factories, and Liquid Code

The build vs. buy decision is about to get a third option — and it's coming faster than most software buyers realize.

Praveen Ghanta Praveen Ghanta, CEO, Hire Fraction · March 31, 2026 ·8 min read
build vs. buyAI strategysoftware investmentautonomous development
What you’ll learn
  • Exactly which category of lightweight software tools throwaway code will eliminate — and where it still fails today
  • Which real companies are already running dark software factories with no human-written code, and since when
  • Why the traditional speed advantage of buying over building is starting to break down
  • What the five-level autonomy framework predicts about where most organizations sit right now versus where they’re headed
  • How the build vs. buy decision evolves into a three-way choice as software-as-managed-service matures

“If agents can build software on demand, why would you buy software at all?” That question used to sound theoretical. It doesn’t anymore — and the answer is reshaping every software investment decision being made right now.

What is throwaway software and why does it matter for the build vs. buy decision?

The idea is simple: instead of building software that lasts, you build software that does what you need right now and then disappears.

An AI agent receives a request. It writes the code, runs it, delivers the output, and the code is discarded. No maintenance. No technical debt. No versioning. The software exists only for as long as it’s useful.

Definition

Throwaway software: code generated by an AI agent on demand for a specific task, executed once to produce an output, and then discarded — with no expectation of maintenance, versioning, or reuse. Unlike traditional software, it is never meant to persist. Its value is in the output it produces, not the code itself.

This isn’t hypothetical. It’s already happening in specific use cases. In the wealthtech and fintech space, platforms are using this pattern today. A user asks for a custom chart comparing three data sets over 36 months. Rather than generating a static visualization, the AI agent writes actual code, fetches the data, renders the chart, and executes it. The user gets exactly what they asked for. The code served its purpose and is gone.

The implications are large. If software can be generated on demand for a specific task, a huge category of one-off tooling — internal dashboards, data transformations, report generators — stops being something you build or buy. It becomes something you prompt for.

What this means for build vs. buy: The “buy” side has always included lightweight tools that companies purchase because building them isn’t worth the effort. Scheduling scripts. Data formatters. Simple integrations. As our build vs. buy AI framework shows, the threshold for when building makes sense is already shifting — and throwaway software is accelerating that shift for the lowest-complexity tier of tools.

The limitation is predictability. When you run the same throwaway code twice, you want the same result. Agents still have reliability concerns around hallucination and inconsistency, which is why throwaway software works best today for analysis and visualization tasks where a human reviews the output. For anything mission-critical or repeatable, persistent tested software remains the right answer.

What is the dark software factory and how close are we to it?

The concept borrows from manufacturing. A “dark factory” is a production facility that runs autonomously — no humans on the floor, no lights needed. The dark software factory applies the same idea to code.

The premise: you start with a prompt or a specification. A team of AI agents takes that input, builds the software, tests it against defined criteria, deploys it, and delivers a finished product. Humans define what to build. Agents handle the how.

As of early 2026, this is no longer speculative. BCG Platinion published a detailed framework describing autonomous software delivery as an emerging reality. StrongDM, an infrastructure access company, has operated a dark factory internally since mid-2025 with three engineers and a strict rule: no human-written code and no human code review. Spotify reportedly has engineers who haven’t written a line of code since December 2025, using an internal AI platform called Honk to trigger and merge autonomous code changes.

Dan Shapiro, CEO of Glowforge, developed a five-level framework for AI autonomy in software development. Level zero is fully manual. Level five is the dark factory, where specs go in and software comes out. Most organizations today sit between levels one and three. But the gap between leaders and laggards is widening fast.

Is there hype? Yes. Some firms claim to be fully at level five today. The reality is more nuanced. But the trajectory is clear, and the distance between “AI assists the developer” and “AI builds the software” is shrinking with each model generation.

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What would software as a managed service actually look like?

This is the most speculative of the three concepts, but it may also be the most consequential.

Today, most non-technical companies engage a managed service provider (MSP) for their IT infrastructure. That’s the firm that sets up your Wi-Fi, maintains your email, manages your basic network services. It’s a well-established model.

Now extend that model to software. What if a provider could deliver custom software on demand and maintain it for you? Not software as a service in the traditional SaaS sense, where you’re one of thousands of tenants using the same product. More like instantaneous, real-time, bespoke software built for your specific needs, with a user base of one.

This would satisfy the need for custom software while keeping the distraction of building it off your plate. For non-technical companies, software could become liquid: something you consume as needed rather than something you own and maintain. The $100K threshold analysis for non-technical companies assumes a world where custom development has a certain cost floor — liquid code could push that floor significantly lower.

We’re not there yet. But the building blocks are falling into place. Throwaway software proves that code can be generated on demand. Dark factories prove that the full build-test-deploy cycle can be automated. Combine those two capabilities with a service layer, and you get something that looks a lot like software-as-a-managed-service.

How do throwaway software and dark factories change the classic build vs. buy tradeoffs?

PatternWhat it eliminatesMaturity today
Throwaway softwareLightweight one-off tools and report generators previously bought or minimally builtProduction-ready for analysis/visualization with human review
Dark software factoryThe timeline and headcount advantages previously belonging to the “buy” optionOperational at pioneering firms; rapidly expanding
Software as managed serviceThe overhead of custom development for non-technical companiesEarly; building blocks in place but full model not yet live

The traditional tradeoff — buy is faster and cheaper, build is slower but more customized — assumed that human engineers were the bottleneck and that software had to be maintained by someone on your team. Both assumptions are being weakened simultaneously.

If a dark factory pipeline can produce tested, deployable software from a spec in days instead of months, the “buy is faster” advantage shrinks. If throwaway patterns can replace lightweight purchased tools entirely, the volume of software you need to buy decreases. And if software-as-a-managed-service matures, the three-way decision becomes: build it (full ownership, maximum control), buy SaaS (shared product, lower cost), or subscribe to managed custom software (bespoke but outsourced). For companies whose core business has nothing to do with technology, that third option could be the most compelling path — custom software without the overhead of custom development.

What should you actually do differently right now?

These concepts are at different stages of maturity. Throwaway software is real and happening in production today, though limited in scope. The dark software factory is operational at a handful of pioneering organizations and quickly moving toward broader adoption. Software-as-managed-service is the logical extension, but it’s still early.

What hasn’t changed is the core decision framework. If a mature SaaS tool solves your problem, buy it. If your competitive advantage depends on proprietary data or custom logic, build it. If you need the power of frontier AI models without building your own, use the hybrid approach for tech companies where the math already favors that path. These principles hold regardless of where autonomous software delivery lands.

What’s changing is the cost and speed of the “build” option. As AI agents get better at writing, testing, and deploying code autonomously, the timeline and price tag for custom software will compress. Features that once took months will take weeks. Projects that once required a 10-person team may require three people and a well-written spec.

At Fraction, this is already shaping how we work. We build the application layer on top of existing AI infrastructure. As the tooling for autonomous software delivery improves, our ability to ship faster and more cost-effectively improves with it. The pricing model stays the same: $149 per story point, scoped upfront, with a structured breakdown before you commit. What changes is how much more value fits inside each sprint.

The companies that will benefit most from these shifts are the ones paying attention to the mechanics now — not the hype. Understanding what throwaway software can and can’t do. Knowing when a dark factory pattern applies and when it doesn’t. The goal isn’t to predict the future perfectly. It’s to make sure you’re not making a five-year software investment based on assumptions that won’t survive the next 18 months.

Frequently asked questions

What is throwaway software and how does it work in practice? Throwaway software is code generated by an AI agent on demand for a specific task, executed once, and then discarded — no maintenance, no versioning, no technical debt. In practice it works best today for analysis and visualization tasks where a human reviews the output before acting on it. A user asks for a custom chart or data transformation; the agent writes and runs the code, delivers the result, and the code is gone. For mission-critical or repeatable workflows, persistent tested software is still the right answer.
What is a dark software factory and which companies are using it? A dark software factory is an autonomous software delivery pipeline where AI agents build, test, and deploy code from a specification — with minimal human involvement in the how. As of early 2026, StrongDM has operated one internally since mid-2025 with three engineers and a rule of no human-written or human-reviewed code. Spotify reportedly has engineers who haven’t written a line of code since December 2025, using an internal platform called Honk. BCG Platinion published a formal framework describing the model. Most organizations today sit between levels one and three on the five-level autonomy scale.
How does the dark software factory change the build vs. buy calculus? The traditional tradeoff was that buying was faster and building was slower but more customized. Dark factory pipelines compress the build timeline from months to days for many project types. That means the threshold for when building makes sense drops significantly — custom software becomes faster and potentially cheaper to produce, which makes the buy side less automatically appealing for straightforward use cases.
What does 'liquid code' or software as a managed service mean? Liquid code describes a future state where custom software is something you consume on demand rather than something you own and maintain — more like a managed service than a product. Instead of buying SaaS (shared, multi-tenant software) or building custom software yourself, a provider delivers bespoke software built for your specific needs and maintains it for you. It’s the logical extension of throwaway software and dark factories combined with a service layer. We are not there yet, but the building blocks are falling into place.
Does the existing build vs. buy framework still apply given these trends? Yes. The core logic still holds: if a mature SaaS tool solves your problem, buy it; if your competitive advantage depends on proprietary data or custom logic, build it; if you need frontier AI capabilities without building your own models, use a hybrid approach. What’s changing is the cost and speed of the build option. As autonomous software delivery matures, the timeline and price for custom software will compress — making the build path viable in more situations than it was two years ago.
What is the five-level framework for AI autonomy in software development? The five-level framework was developed by Dan Shapiro, CEO of Glowforge. Level zero is fully manual development. Level five is the dark factory, where specifications go in and finished software comes out with no human involvement in the coding process. Most organizations today sit between levels one and three — AI assists the developer but humans remain heavily involved. The distance between adjacent levels is shrinking with each new model generation.

Sources

Sources
  1. BCG Platinion. “The Dark Software Factory.” March 26, 2026. Describes autonomous software delivery frameworks and early enterprise adoption, including Spotify and BCG Platinion’s own legacy migration results. https://www.bcgplatinion.com/insights/the-dark-software-factory
  2. Dan Shapiro. “The Five Levels: from Spicy Autocomplete to the Dark Factory.” January 23, 2026. Five-level framework for AI autonomy in software development, from manual coding to fully autonomous delivery. danshapiro.com/blog/…
  3. Simon Willison. “How StrongDM’s AI team build serious software without even looking at the code.” February 7, 2026. Documents StrongDM’s three-engineer dark factory operating since mid-2025 with no human-written or human-reviewed code. simonwillison.net/2026/Feb/7/software-factory/
  4. MIT Technology Review. “Generative Coding: 10 Breakthrough Technologies 2026.” January 12, 2026. AI now writes up to 30% of code at Microsoft and over 25% at Google. technologyreview.com/…
  5. Anthropic. “2026 Agentic Coding Trends Report.” January 2026. Examines how coding agents are reshaping the software development lifecycle. resources.anthropic.com/…
Praveen Ghanta
Praveen Ghanta
CEO, Hire Fraction

Praveen Ghanta is a five-time founder and serial entrepreneur. He is the founder of DevHawk.ai, an AI-powered engineering management platform, and Fraction.work, which connects fast-growing companies with top fractional tech and growth marketing talent. Previously, he founded HiddenLevers, a risk analytics platform for wealth management that he bootstrapped from inception to acquisition by Orion Advisor Solutions in 2021, serving thousands of advisors and $600B in assets. He earlier founded SmartWorkGroups, acquired by Intralinks in 2000.

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